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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
____________________________________________________________
Form 20-F
___________________________________________________________
| | | | | |
☐ | REGISTRATION STATEMENT PURSUANT TO SECTION 12(b) OR 12(g) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
OR
| | | | | |
☒ | ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022
OR
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☐ | TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
OR
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☐ | SHELL COMPANY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
Commission file number 001-31909
ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Bermuda
(Jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
141 Front Street, Hamilton, HM19, Bermuda
(Address of principal executive offices)
Mark Cloutier
Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
141 Front Street, Hamilton, HM19, Bermuda Telephone: +1 441-295-8201, Email: mark.cloutier@aspen.co
(Name, Telephone, E-mail and/or Facsimile Number and Address of Company Contact Person)
| | | | | | | | | | | |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act: |
Title of Each Class | | Trading Symbol | Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered |
5.95% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preference Shares | AHL PRC | New York Stock Exchange |
5.625% Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preference Shares | AHL PRD | New York Stock Exchange |
Depositary Shares, each representing a 1/1000th interest in a share of 5.625% Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preference Shares | AHL PRE | New York Stock Exchange |
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None.
Securities for which there is a reporting obligation pursuant to Section 15(d) of the Act: None.
Indicate the number of outstanding shares of each of the issuer’s classes of capital or common stock as of the close of the period covered by the annual report: 60,395,839 ordinary shares.
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes ☐ No ☒
If this report is an annual or transition report, indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act: Yes ☐ No ☒
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter periods that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes ý No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files). Yes ☒ No ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company” and “emerging growth company” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.:
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Large accelerated filer | ☐ | | Accelerated filer | ☐ | | Non-accelerated filer | ☒ | | Smaller reporting company | ☐ | Emerging growth company | ☐ |
If an emerging growth company that prepares its financial statements in accordance with U.S. GAAP, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. ☐
If securities are registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act, indicate by check mark whether the financial statements of the registrant included in the filing reflect the correction of an error to previously issued financial statements. ☐
Indicate by check mark whether any of those error corrections are restatements that required a recovery analysis of incentive-based compensation received by any of the registrant’s executive officers during the relevant recovery period pursuant to §240.10D-1(b).1 ☐
Indicate by check mark which basis of accounting the registrant has used to prepare the financial statements included in this filing: | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
U.S. GAAP | ☒ | | International Financial Reporting Standards as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board | ☐ | | Other | ☐ |
If this is an annual report, indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). Yes ☐ No ☒
1 Per SEC guidance, this blank checkbox is included on this cover page but not disclosure with respect thereto shall be made until the adopt and effectiveness of related stock exchange listing standards.
ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED
FORM 20-F
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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| | Page |
Explanatory Note | |
| | |
PART I | | |
Item 1. | Identity of Directors, Senior Management and Advisors | |
Item 2. | Offer Statistics and Expected Timetable | |
Item 3. | Key Information | |
Item 4. | Information on the Company | |
Item 4A. | Unresolved Staff Comments | |
Item 5. | Operating and Financial Review and Prospects | |
Item 6. | Directors, Senior Management and Employees | |
Item 7. | Major Shareholders and Related Party Transactions | |
Item 8. | Financial Information | |
Item 9. | The Offer and Listing | |
Item 10. | Additional Information | |
Item 11. | Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk | |
Item 12. | Description of Securities Other than Equity Securities | |
| | |
PART II | | |
Item 13. | Defaults, Dividend Arrearages and Delinquencies | |
Item 14. | Material Modifications to the Rights of Security Holders and Use of Proceeds | |
Item 15. | Controls and Procedures | |
Item 16A. | Audit Committee Financial Expert | |
Item 16B. | Code of Conduct | |
Item 16C. | Principal Accountant Fees and Services | |
Item 16D. | Exemptions from the Listing Standards for Audit Committees | |
Item 16E. | Purchases of Equity Securities by the Issuer and Affiliated Purchasers | |
Item 16F. | Change in Registrant’s Certifying Account | |
Item 16G. | Corporate Governance | |
Item 16H. | Mine Safety Disclosure | |
Item 16I. | Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections | |
Item 16J. | Insider Trading Policies | |
| | |
PART III | | |
Item 17. | Financial Statements | |
Item 18. | Financial Statements | |
Item 19. | Exhibits | |
EXPLANATORY NOTE
References in this Annual Report on Form 20-F (this “report”) to the “Company,” the “Aspen Group,” “we,” “us” or “our” refer to Aspen Insurance Holdings Limited (“Aspen Holdings”) or Aspen Holdings and its consolidated subsidiaries, as the context requires. Our principal operating subsidiaries are: Aspen Bermuda Limited (“Aspen Bermuda”), Aspen Specialty Insurance Company (“Aspen Specialty”), Aspen American Insurance Company (“AAIC”), Aspen Insurance UK Limited (“Aspen UK”) and Aspen Underwriting Limited (“AUL”) (as corporate member of our Lloyd’s operations, Syndicate 4711, which are managed by Aspen Managing Agency Limited (“AMAL”) (together, “Aspen Lloyd’s”)), each referred to herein as an “Operating Subsidiary” and collectively referred to as the “Operating Subsidiaries”. References to “Aspen Capital Markets” or “ACM” means business conducted by our subsidiaries that participate in alternative reinsurance markets, including Peregrine Reinsurance Ltd (“Peregrine”), Aspen Cat Fund Limited (“ACF”) and related management entities, including Aspen Capital Advisors Inc. (“Aspen Advisors”) and Aspen Capital Management, Ltd (“ACML”).
References in this report to “U.S. Dollars,” “dollars,” “$” or “¢” are to the lawful currency of the United States of America, references to “British Pounds,” “pounds,” “GBP” or “£” are to the lawful currency of the United Kingdom (sometimes referred to herein as the “U.K.”) and references to “euros” or “€” are to the lawful currency adopted by certain member states of the European Union (the “E.U.”), unless the context otherwise requires.
Since February 2019, the Company has been a wholly-owned subsidiary of Highlands Bermuda Holdco, Ltd. (“Parent”), which holds all of the Company’s ordinary shares. Parent, a Bermuda exempted company, is an affiliate of certain investment funds managed by affiliates of Apollo Global Management, Inc., a leading global investment manager (collectively with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”). The Company’s preference shares and depositary shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”) under the following symbols: AHL PRC, AHL PRD and AHL PRE.
PART I
Item 1. Identity of Directors, Senior Management and Advisors
Not applicable.
Item 2. Offer Statistics and Expected Timetable
Not applicable.
Item 3. Key Information
A. [Reserved]
B. Capitalization and Indebtedness
Not applicable.
C. Reasons for the Offer and Use of Proceeds
Not applicable.
D. Risk Factors
You should carefully consider the following risk factors and all other information set forth in this report, including our consolidated financial statements and the notes thereto. Any of the risks described below could materially and adversely affect our business, operating results or financial condition. The risk factors described below could also cause our actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking and other statements contained in this report and other documents that we file with the SEC. The risks and uncertainties described below are not the only ones we face. However, these are the risks we believe to be material as of the date of this report. Additional risks not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial may also impair our future business, financial condition or operating results.
Introduction
As with any publicly traded company, investing in our preference shares and other securities carries risks. Our risk management strategy is designed to identify, measure, monitor and manage material risks which could adversely affect our financial condition and operating results. We have invested significant resources to develop and maintain appropriate risk management policies and procedures to implement this strategy. Nonetheless, the future business environment is intrinsically uncertain and difficult to forecast and, as a result, our risk management methods may not be successful. For more information on our risk management strategy, refer to Item 4, “Business Overview - Risk Management - Risk Management Strategy.”
Risks Related to Our Business
(Re)insurance Risks
Our financial condition and operating results may be adversely affected by the occurrence of natural disasters and other catastrophe events, as well as outbreaks of pandemic or contagious diseases.
As part of our insurance and reinsurance operations, we assume substantial exposure to losses resulting from weather-related natural catastrophes, other natural disasters and other catastrophe events. Catastrophes can be caused by various unpredictable events, including, but not limited to, tropical storms, cyclones, hurricanes, winter storms, tornadoes, hailstorms, floods, wildfires, drought, pandemic or contagious disease, volcanic eruptions, earthquakes and tsunamis. For the applicable period, the Company experienced exposure to Hurricane Ian, floods in Australia and South Africa and the Russia/Ukraine war, as detailed herein.
Catastrophes can also be man-made such as acts of war, acts of terrorism and other intentionally destructive acts, including those involving nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events, cyber attacks, explosions, infrastructure failures and losses resulting from political instability, government action that is hostile to commercial interests and sovereign, sub-sovereign and corporate defaults.
The incidence, severity and magnitude of catastrophes are inherently unpredictable and our losses from such catastrophes have been and can be substantial. In addition, we expect that increases in the values and concentrations of insured property will increase the severity of such occurrences in the future and that global climate change may increase the frequency and severity of severe weather events, wildfires and flooding. Similarly, changes in global political and economic conditions may increase both the frequency and severity of man-made catastrophe events in the future.
Although we attempt to manage our exposure, including the accumulation of risk exposures, to such events through a multitude of approaches (including geographic diversification, geographic limits, individual policy limits, exclusions or limitations from coverage, purchase of reinsurance, expansion of supportive collateralized capacity and adherence to Group-level risk tolerance criteria and key risk limits), the availability of these management tools may be dependent on market factors and, to the extent available, may not respond in the way that we expect. In addition, a single catastrophic event could affect multiple geographic zones or the frequency or severity of catastrophic events could exceed our estimates. As a result, the occurrence of one or more catastrophic events or an unusual frequency of smaller events may result in substantial volatility in, and may materially adversely affect, our business, financial condition or operating results. For further details, please refer to Item 4 - Information on the Company - Underwriting and Reinsurance Purchasing - Risk Management.
With regard to cyber-attacks, this is an area where the threat landscape continues to evolve, and there is a risk that increases in the frequency and severity of cyber-attacks on our policyholders could adversely affect our financial condition and operating results. This risk is also dependent on our policyholders’ cybersecurity defenses, and our issuance of policy terms which respond to the evolving threat landscape. In addition, our exposure to cyber-attacks includes exposure to silent cyber risks, meaning risks and potential losses associated with policies where cyber risk is not specifically included nor
excluded in the policies. Even in cases where we attempt to exclude losses from cyber-related risks, there can be no assurance that a court or arbitration panel will interpret policy language, or otherwise issue a ruling, favorable to us.
Global climate change, as well as increasing regulation in the area of climate change, may have an adverse effect on our results of operations, financial condition or liquidity.
There is widespread consensus in the scientific community that there is a long-term upward trend in global air and sea temperatures that, along with shifting demographic trends in catastrophe exposed regions, has increased the severity and frequency of severe weather events and other natural catastrophes, and is likely to further increase the average economic value of expected losses in the future. Rising sea levels are also expected to increase the risk of coastal flooding in many geographical areas.
A substantial portion of our property coverages may be adversely impacted by climate change. While we have invested heavily to understand the influence of climate change on the weather and its impact on the risks that we take, we cannot predict with certainty the frequency or severity of tropical cyclones, wildfires or other natural catastrophes, and our risk assessments may not accurately reflect shifting environmental and climate related risks. Unanticipated factors could lead to additional insured losses that exceed our current estimates, resulting in disruptions to or adverse impacts on our business, the market, or our clients. Further, some of our investments, such as catastrophe-linked securities or other managed investment portfolios, could also be adversely impacted by climate change.
We may also be exposed to liability risks. Liability risks relate to losses or damages suffered by our insureds from physical or transition risks, such as losses stemming from climate-related litigation in liability lines. These risks could arise from management and boards of directors not fully considering or responding to the impacts of climate change, or not appropriately disclosing current and future risks.
In addition, global climate change could impair our ability to predict the costs associated with future weather events. For example, a single catastrophic event could affect multiple geographic zones in unprecedented ways or the frequency or severity of such events could exceed our estimates, driving loss costs higher than we could have predicted.
In addition to exposure to the physical risks of climate change, there are transition risks associated with climate change that could impact Aspen’s business and investment portfolio. Transition risks arise from the process of adjustment towards a low-carbon economy, including from the proliferation of governmental and regulatory scrutiny related to climate change and greenhouse gases and other factors, including international, federal, state, and local regulations, scrutiny, and enforcement and societal changes. A range of factors influence this adjustment, including climate-related developments in policy and regulation, the emergence of disruptive technology or business models, shifting sentiment and societal preferences, or evolving evidence, frameworks and legal interpretations. Climate change could also give rise to new environmental liability claims in the energy, manufacturing and other industries we serve, as those that have suffered losses seek compensation. In addition, the transition to a less polluting, greener economy could impact the value of our investments in impacted sectors, or demand for insurance in our casualty classes or energy exposed lines. Our investment assets could be affected by a market shift away from carbon-intensive industries or businesses, increased costs or fees associated with the production of greenhouse gases, and decreased profitability in sectors that produce or use carbon-based fuels. For example, rapid technological change, such as the development of electric vehicles or renewable energy technology, affecting the value of financial assets in these sectors; and companies in the wider economy that fail to mitigate, adapt, or disclose the financial risks from climate change being exposed to climate-related litigation, potentially leading to higher liability claims.
Additionally, demand for insurance coverage could be negatively impacted to the extent that carbon-intensive businesses are impacted by this transition, and claims and losses related to those industries could increase, either of which could have a material negative effect on our business and results of operations.
More broadly, environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) and sustainability have become major topics that encompass a wide range of issues, including climate change and other environmental risks. We are subject to complex and changing laws, regulations and public policy debates relating to climate change which are difficult to predict and quantify and may have an adverse impact on our business. Changes in regulations relating to climate change or our own leadership decisions implemented as a result of assessing the impact of climate change on our business may result in an increase in the cost of doing business or a decrease in premiums. For further information, see this Item D - Strategic Risks - “Increasing scrutiny and evolving expectations from investors, customers, regulators, policymakers and other stakeholders regarding environmental, social and governance matters may adversely affect our reputation or otherwise adversely impact our business and results of operations.”
Concerns over the negative impacts of climate change have led and will continue to lead to new regulatory responses. New laws and regulations relating sustainability and climate change are under consideration or being adopted, which may include specific disclosure requirements or obligations, including, but not limited to, underwriting and exposure data, and
this may result in additional investments and implementation of new practices and reporting processes, all entailing additional compliance costs and risk. As an example, refer to “Regulatory Matters – Management of Climate Change Risks” for information regarding the Bermuda Monetary Authority’s Guidance Note on Management of Climate Change Risks for Commercial Insurers. It is not possible to predict the impact of such regulatory changes, but they may affect the way we conduct our business and manage our capital and risk profile, which in turn could affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
We could face unanticipated losses from war, terrorism and political unrest, government action that is hostile to commercial interests and from sovereign, sub-sovereign and corporate defaults, and these or other unanticipated losses could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or operating results.
We have substantial exposure to unexpected, large losses resulting from man-made catastrophic events such as, but not limited to, acts of war, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022, acts of terrorism and losses resulting from political instability, government action that is hostile to commercial interests and sovereign, sub-sovereign and corporate defaults. These risks are inherently unpredictable as it is difficult to predict their occurrence with statistical certainty or to estimate the amount of loss such an occurrence may generate.
Terrorist events could generate greater interest in political violence insurance coverage and greater awareness of the risks multinational corporations face in conflict-prone regions. We closely monitor the amount and types of coverage we provide for terrorism risk under insurance policies and reinsurance treaties. Even in cases where we have deliberately sought to exclude such coverage, there can be no assurance that a court or arbitration panel will interpret policy language or issue a ruling favorable to us. Accordingly, we may not be able to eliminate our exposure to terrorist events and there remains a risk that our reserves will not be adequate to cover such losses should they materialize. Notably, the Terrorism Risk Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2019 (the “TRIA Reauthorization”) does not provide coverage for reinsurance losses. In addition, we have limited terrorism coverage for exposure to catastrophe losses related to acts of terrorism in the reinsurance that we purchase. Although the TRIA Reauthorization provides benefits in the event of certain acts of terrorism occurring in the United States, those benefits are subject to a deductible and other limitations.
Our credit and political risk insurance line of business protects insureds with interests in foreign jurisdictions in the event governmental action prevents them from exercising their contractual rights and may also protect their assets against physical damage perils. The insurance provided may include cover for loss arising from expropriation, forced abandonment, license cancellation, trade embargo, contract frustration, non-payment, war on land or political violence (including terrorism, revolution, insurrection and civil unrest).
Our credit and political risk line of business also provides non-payment coverage on specific loan obligations. We insure sovereign non-payment and corporate non-payment as a result of commercial as well as political risk events. The vast majority of the corporate non-payment credit insurance provided is for single-named illiquid risks, primarily in the form of senior bank loans that can be individually analyzed and underwritten. We also aim to avoid terms in our credit insurance contracts which introduce liquidity risk, most notably, in the form of a collateralization requirement upon a ratings downgrade. We also attempt to manage our exposure, by among other things, setting credit limits by country, region, industry and individual counterparty and regularly reviewing our aggregate exposures. However, due to globalization, political instability in one region can spread to other regions. Geopolitical uncertainty regarding a variety of domestic and international matters, such as the U.S. political and regulatory environment, the potential for default by one or more European sovereign debt issuers.
Our business may be negatively impacted as a result of the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine.
The ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine has resulted in the continued imposition of broad, far-reaching economic or other sanctions by the U.S., E.U., United Kingdom and other jurisdictions on Russia and other involved countries. These sanctions frameworks continue to evolve in scope and which may have an impact on our business operations, including, but not limited to, compliance, legal and claims management, and our general financial condition, and which also present regulatory risks.
We cannot predict the direct or indirect impact of a prolonged war and any heightened military conflict, economic impact or geopolitical instability that may follow, including heightened operating risks in the E.U., heightened inflation, cyber disruptions or attacks, effects to supply chains or unrelated suppliers and service providers, and higher energy costs. A further prolonged war may also create uncertainty in the global economy in the form of oil shortages, inflationary pressures, loss of confidence and general increase in risks worldwide. It is also impossible to predict whether Russia will expand hostilities to other countries in Europe or elsewhere. Certain lines of business we write have been impacted by the invasion and the resulting sanctions packages, although the extent of the impact will depend on the ultimate outcome of the war in Ukraine, how long it is prolonged and the nature of future sanctions packages.
In addition, the Russian invasion of Ukraine may have the effect of triggering or intensifying many of the risks described elsewhere under this Item 3D. Risk Factors.
The ongoing impacts of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19), including any new or emerging variants thereof, has and may continue to pose a material risk to our business, results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in material impacts on a global scale, including on the insurance and reinsurance industries. It is difficult to predict all of the potential impacts of COVID-19 on the markets in which we participate or the impact of any new or emerging pandemic events.
While COVID-19-related governmental and societal restrictions have been scaled back in the jurisdictions in which we operate, the pandemic significantly increased economic uncertainty. To the extent these conditions continue, recur or worsen, they could have the following impacts on our business operations and current and future financial performance and could impact us in other ways that we cannot predict:
•We have material exposure to direct and indirect losses stemming from COVID-19 related claims, and we remain exposed to additional losses or deterioration over time as the full impact of COVID-19 and its effects on the global economy are realized. The extent to which COVID-19 triggers coverage is dependent on specific policy language, terms and exclusions, the application or interpretation of which may be impacted adversely to our interests by ongoing responses to COVID-19 and other pandemics in the future by regulators and governments, as well as the courts.
•Ongoing disruption in global financial markets and economic uncertainty due to the continuing impact of COVID-19 could cause us to incur investment losses, including credit impairments in our fixed maturity portfolio, or decline in interest rates which may reduce our future net investment income.
•Responses to COVID-19, including by governments, may lead or contribute to continued high inflation.
•Our counterparty credit risk may also increase, as some of our counterparties may face increased financial difficulties due to the ongoing impacts of COVID-19 on the world economy and financial markets.
•From an operational perspective, while many of the jurisdictions in which we operate have relaxed COVID-19 restrictions, our employees, directors, officers and other stakeholders and business partners were recently and may in the future again be adversely affected by COVID-19 and any new variants thereof, or by any future pandemics, or efforts to mitigate COVID-19 and any new variants thereof, or by any future pandemics.
In addition, the COVID-19 pandemic may have the effect of triggering or intensifying many of the risks described elsewhere under this Item 3D. Risk Factors.
The effects of emerging claim and coverage issues in our business and social inflation are uncertain.
As industry practices and legislative, regulatory, judicial, socio-economic, financial, technological and other environmental conditions change, unexpected and unintended issues related to claims liabilities and coverage may emerge. These issues may adversely affect our business by either extending coverage beyond our underwriting intent or by increasing the frequency and severity of claims. Moreover, legislative, regulatory, judicial or social influences may impose new obligations on insurers or reinsurers in connection with the COVID-19 pandemic or climate change that extend coverage beyond the intended contractual obligations, or result in an increase in the frequency or severity of claims beyond expected levels, as described in the risk factors herein relating to COVID-19 and climate change.
In addition, increasing fraud and abuses at the primary claims level, as well as other forms of social inflation, have affected our reserving practices and loss exposures, and these trends may continue. In some instances, these changes may not become apparent until after we have issued insurance or reinsurance contracts that are affected by the changes. In addition, actual losses may vary materially from the current estimate of losses based on a number of factors, as described elsewhere in these risk factors. As a result, the full extent of liability under our insurance or reinsurance contracts may not be known for many years after issuance.
Our results may fluctuate as a result of many factors, including cyclical changes in the reinsurance and insurance industries.
Historically, the performance of the property and casualty reinsurance and insurance industries has tended to fluctuate in cyclical periods of price competition and excess underwriting capacity, followed by periods of high premium rates and
shortages of underwriting capacity. Although an individual reinsurance and insurance company’s performance is dependent on its own specific business characteristics, the profitability of most property and casualty reinsurance and insurance companies tends to follow this market cycle. Further, this cyclical market pattern can be more pronounced in the reinsurance market in which Aspen Re competes and in the excess and surplus market in which Aspen Insurance primarily competes than in the standard insurance market. In addition, compared with historical cyclical periods, a cycle of increased price competition and excess underwriting capacity may continue for a prolonged period of time as new and existing reinsurance and insurance market participants and products continue to enter the reinsurance and insurance markets. Unfavorable market conditions may affect the ability of our reinsurance and insurance subsidiaries to write business at rates they consider appropriate relative to the risk assumed. If we cannot write business at appropriate rates, our business would be significantly and adversely affected.
When premium rates are high and there is a shortage of capacity in the standard insurance market, growth in the excess and surplus market can be significantly more rapid than growth in the standard insurance market. Similarly, when there is price competition and excess underwriting capacity in the standard insurance market, many customers that were previously driven into the excess and surplus market may return to the standard insurance market, exacerbating the effects of price competition.
Demand for reinsurance is influenced significantly by underwriting and investment results in both the standard insurance and the excess and surplus markets and market conditions. The supply of reinsurance is related to prevailing prices, the levels of insured losses and the levels of reinsurance industry surplus, among other factors. These in turn may fluctuate in response to changes in rates of return on investments being earned in the reinsurance industry. In addition, the supply of reinsurance is affected by a reinsurer’s confidence in its ability to accurately assess the probability of expected underwriting outcomes, particularly with respect to catastrophe losses.
Since cyclicality is due in large part to the collective actions of insurers and reinsurers, general economic conditions and the occurrence of unpredictable events, we cannot predict the timing or duration of changes in the market cycle. These cyclical patterns cause our revenues and net earnings to fluctuate, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or operating results
A material proportion of our business relies on the assessment and pricing of individual risks by third parties.
We authorize managing general agents, general agents and other producers to write business on our behalf from time to time within underwriting authorities we prescribe. We rely on the underwriting controls of these agents and producers to write business within the underwriting authorities we provide. Although we monitor our underwriting on an ongoing basis, our monitoring efforts may not be adequate and our agents and producers may exceed their underwriting authorities or otherwise breach obligations owed to us. There is also the risk that we may be held responsible for obligations that arise from the acts or omissions of third parties if they are deemed to have acted on our behalf. In addition, our agents, producers, insureds or other third parties may commit fraud or otherwise breach their obligation to us. To the extent that our agents, producers, insureds or other third parties exceed their authorities, commit fraud or otherwise breach obligations owed to us, our operating results and financial condition may be materially adversely affected.
Our reliance on third-party assessment and pricing of individual risk extends to our reinsurance treaty business. Similar to other reinsurers, we do not separately evaluate each of the individual risks assumed under most reinsurance treaties. We are therefore largely dependent on the original underwriting decisions made by ceding companies. We are subject to the risk that the ceding companies may not have adequately evaluated the risks to be reinsured and that the premiums ceded to us may not adequately compensate us for the risks we assume and the losses we may incur. As a result of this reliance on ceding companies, our operating results and financial condition may be materially adversely affected.
The failure of any risk management and loss limitation methods we employ could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and operating results.
We employ various risk management and loss limitation methods. We seek to manage our loss exposure by maintaining disciplined underwriting processes designed to guide the pricing, terms and acceptance of risk. These processes, which may include the use of pricing models, are intended to ensure that premiums received are sufficient to cover the expected levels of attritional losses and a contribution to the cost of catastrophes and large losses, where necessary. We also seek to mitigate our loss exposure by writing a number of our insurance and reinsurance contracts on an excess of loss basis, such that we only pay losses that exceed a specified retention. We also seek to limit certain risks, such as catastrophes and political risks, by geographic diversification. Geographic zone limitations involve significant underwriting judgments, including the determination of zone boundaries and the allocation of policy limits to zones. In the case of proportional (also known as pro
rata) property reinsurance treaties, we often seek per occurrence limitations or loss and loss expense ratio caps to limit the impact of losses from any one event, although we may not be able to obtain such limits in certain markets. Various provisions in our policies intended to limit our risks, such as limitations or exclusions from certain coverage and choice of forum, may not always be enforceable. Purchasing reinsurance is another loss limitation method we employ which may not always respond in the way intended due to disputes relating to coverage terms, exclusions or counterparty credit risk.
There are inherent limitations in all of these actions and it is possible that an event or series of events could result in loss levels that could have an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. It is also possible that our controls and monitoring efforts may be ineffective, permitting one or more underwriters to exceed their underwriting authority and cause us to (re)insure risks outside the agreed upon guidelines or that losses could manifest themselves in ways that we do not anticipate and that our risk mitigation strategies are not designed to address. Additionally, various provisions in our policies, such as limitations or exclusions from coverage or choice of forum negotiated to limit our risk may not be enforceable in the manner we intend. As a result, one or more natural catastrophes and/or terrorism or other events could result in claims that substantially exceed our expectations, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or operating results.
On January 10, 2022, the Company announced an agreement for a ground-up loss portfolio transfer (“LPT”) with a subsidiary of Enstar Group Limited (“Enstar”). See Item 5, Operating and Financial Review and Prospects, for further details. The LPT represents a repositioning of the adverse development cover previously entered into between the Company and Enstar in March 2020. The LPT transaction successfully closed on May 20, 2022. The nature and structure of the LPT present certain risks to the Company, including claims, marketing and reserving risks, as well as general management risks and the risk of differences in interpretation between the parties of the availability, scope and terms of coverage, all or any of which may have an uncertain impact across multiple operational functions and on our business generally.
The reinsurance that we purchase may not always be available on favorable terms or we may choose to retain a higher proportion of particular risks compared to previous years.
From time to time, market conditions have limited, and in some cases prevented, insurers and reinsurers from obtaining the types and amounts of reinsurance that they consider adequate for their business needs. Accordingly, we may not be able to obtain our desired amount of reinsurance or retrocession protection on terms that are acceptable to us from entities with a satisfactory credit rating or which is collateralized. Even if such capacity is available, we may also choose to retain a higher proportion of particular risks than in previous years due to pricing, terms and conditions or strategic emphasis. We may also seek alternative means of transferring risk, including expanded participation via our Aspen Capital Markets platform in alternative reinsurance structures. These solutions may not provide commensurate levels of protection compared to traditional retrocession. Our inability to obtain adequate reinsurance or other protection for our own account at favorable prices and on acceptable terms could have a material adverse effect on our business, operating results and financial condition.
Our financial condition and operating results may be adversely affected if actual claims exceed our loss reserves.
We use projections of possible losses from future catastrophic events of varying types and magnitudes as a strategic underwriting tool. Our operating results and financial condition depend on our ability to accurately assess the potential losses associated with the risks that we (re)insure. While we believe that our loss reserves as of December 31, 2022 are adequate, establishing an appropriate level of loss reserves is an inherently uncertain process and requires a considerable amount of judgment. There are many factors that would cause our reserves to increase or decrease, which include, but are not limited to, changes in claim severity, changes in the expected level of reported claims, judicial action changing the scope and/or liability of coverage, changes in the legislative, regulatory, social and economic environment and unexpected changes in loss inflation. To the extent actual claims exceed our expectations, we will be required to recognize the less favorable experience immediately which could cause a material increase in our provisions for liabilities and a reduction in our profitability, including operating losses and reduction of capital.
We cannot estimate losses from widespread catastrophic events, such as hurricanes, earthquakes or pandemic events like COVID-19, using traditional actuarial methods. The magnitude and complexity of losses associated with certain of these events inherently increase the level of uncertainty and, therefore, the level of management judgment involved in arriving at loss reserve estimates. Similarly, our estimate of ultimate losses related to the COVID-19 pandemic continues to be subject to significant uncertainty. This uncertainty is driven by the inherent difficulty in making assumptions around the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic due to the lack of comparable events, the ongoing nature of the event, lack of clarity as to how courts will rule on matters of coverage interpretation across different jurisdictions, and to the far-reaching impact of the
pandemic to world-wide economies and the health of the global population. As a result, actual losses for these events may ultimately differ materially from current estimates.
While we believe that our historical experience is capable of providing us with meaningful actuarial indications, estimates and judgments for new (re)insurance lines of business are more difficult to make than those made for more mature lines of business because we have more limited historical information through December 31, 2022. A significant portion of our current loss reserves is in respect of incurred but not reported (“IBNR”) reserves. This IBNR reserve is based almost entirely on estimates involving actuarial and statistical projections of our expectations of the ultimate loss and claims handling expenses. In addition to limited historical information for certain lines of business, we utilize actuarial models as well as historical insurance industry loss development patterns to establish loss reserves. Accordingly, actual claims and claim expenses paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from our reserve estimates, which could materially adversely affect our financial results.
Only reserves applicable to losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred up to the reporting date may be set aside in our financial statements, with no allowance for future losses. Our estimates of reserves for losses and loss expenses also include assumptions about future payments for settlement of claims and claims-handling expenses, such as medical treatment, awards for pain and suffering and litigation costs. We write casualty business in certain jurisdictions and other territories where claims inflation has for many years run at higher rates than general inflation. To the extent economic or social inflation, such as through outsized court awards, particularly in the U.S., causes these costs to increase above reserves established for these claims, we will be required to increase our loss reserves with a corresponding reduction in our net income in the period in which the deficiency is identified, which could materially adversely affect our financial results.
We may be adversely impacted by economic inflation and social inflation.
Our operations, like those of other (re)insurers, are susceptible to the effects of inflation because premiums are established before the ultimate amounts of losses and loss expenses are known. Although we consider the potential effects of inflation when setting premium rates, premiums may not fully offset the effects of inflation and thereby essentially result in underpricing the risks we insure and reinsure. Loss reserves include assumptions about future payments for settlement of claims and claims-handling expenses, such as the cost of replacing property, associated labor costs and litigation costs for the property business we write. To the extent inflation causes costs to increase above loss reserves established for claims, we will be required to increase loss reserves with a corresponding reduction in net income in the period in which the deficiency is identified, which may have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or financial condition. Unanticipated higher inflation could also lead to higher interest rates, which would negatively impact the value of our fixed income securities and potentially other investments.
During 2022, inflation reached and stayed unusually high in many parts of the world, and central banks in the U.S. and other countries aggressively raised interest rates to counter inflation by slowing economic activity. Monetary policy tightening actions were ongoing at December 31, 2022, and their long-term impact on financial markets and the real economy is still uncertain. Uncertainty and market turmoil has affected and may in the future affect, among other aspects of our business, the demand for and claims made under our products, the ability of customers, counterparties and others to establish or maintain their relationships with us, our ability to access and efficiently use internal and external capital resources and our investment performance and portfolio.
In addition, steps taken by central banks to control inflation and/or governments to stabilize financial markets and improve economic conditions may be ineffective, and actual or anticipated efforts to continue to unwind some of such steps could disrupt financial markets and/or could adversely impact the value of our investment portfolio. Further increases in interest rates would decrease unrealized gains and/or increase unrealized losses on our debt securities portfolio. Higher inflation could lead to even higher interest rates, which would continue to negatively impact the value of our existing fixed income or other investments.
We monitor the risk that the principal markets in which we operate could continue to experience increased inflationary conditions, which would, among other things, cause policyholder loss costs to increase, and negatively impact the performance of our investment portfolio. Inflation related to medical costs, wage costs, construction costs and tort issues in particular have impacted and continue to impact the property and casualty industry, and broader market inflation has increased and may continue to increase overall loss costs. The impact of inflation on loss costs could be more pronounced for those lines of business that are considered to be long-tail in nature, as they require a relatively long period of time to finalize and settle claims. We also provide coverage to the mortgage industry through insurance and reinsurance of mortgage insurance companies and U.S. government sponsored entity credit risk sharing transactions, and deteriorating economic conditions could cause mortgage insurance losses to increase and adversely affect our results of operations or financial condition.
The current inflationary environment and its potential future variability are sources of uncertainty for our business and industry, and are exacerbated by social inflation trends, including increased litigation, expanded theories of liability and rising settlement amounts and jury awards.
In response to these inflationary impacts, we continue to assess and, where appropriate, initiate new or enhanced modeling and monitoring approaches to forecast and manage our results; however, there can be no assurance these approaches will shield us from the negative effects of rising inflation, which could materially and adversely impact our results of operations or financial condition.
Market and Liquidity Risks
Our investments are subject to interest rate, credit, and real estate related risks, which may adversely affect our net income and may adversely affect the adequacy of our capital.
We invest the net premiums we receive until such time as, we pay out losses and/or until they are made available for distribution to ordinary and preferred shareholders, to pay interest on or redemption of debt and preferred shares, or otherwise used for general corporate purposes. Investment income comprises a substantial portion of our group income. We, subsequently are exposed to significant financial and capital market risks, including changes in interest rates, credit spreads, credit defaults, foreign exchange rates, market volatility impacting the valuation of our investments, the performance of the economy in general, and other factors outside our control. The impact of geopolitical tension, such as a deterioration in the bilateral relationship between the U.S. and China or an escalated or prolonged conflict between Russia and Ukraine, including any resulting sanctions, export controls or other restrictive actions that may be imposed by the U.S. and/or other countries against governmental or other entities in, for example, Russia, also could lead to disruption, instability and volatility in the global markets, which may have an impact on our investments across negatively impacted sectors or geographies.
A significant portion of our investments could be influenced by changes in interest rates across a number of geographies. Interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including fiscal and monetary policies of major economies, inflation, economic and political conditions and other factors outside our control. Changes in interest rates can negatively affect net investment income in that, in a declining interest rate environment, investments in fixed maturities and short-term investments (fixed maturity portfolio) would earn interest income at lower rates. In a declining interest rate environment, the market value of our fixed income portfolio would increase. However, in a rising interest rate environment, the market value of our fixed income portfolio will decline, which we experienced in 2022. Furthermore, depending on our liquidity needs and investment strategy, we may liquidate investments prior to maturity at a loss in order to cover liabilities as they become due or to invest in other investment opportunities that have better expected longer term profitability.
In 2022, many central banks have raised interest rates, which could act as a countervailing force against some inflationary pressures. Historic increases in interest rates have driven significant short-term mark-to-market losses in our investment portfolio. We expect to see a reversal of the mark-to-market losses from accretion to par for certain securities that we hold to maturity. However, interest rates are highly sensitive to many factors, including fiscal and monetary policies of major economies, inflation, economic and political conditions and other factors outside our control.
Our fixed maturity portfolio is primarily invested in high quality, investment grade securities, including collateralized loan obligations (“CLOs”). However, we invest a portion of the portfolio in securities that are below investment grade. We also invest a portion of our portfolio in other investments such as unrated private fixed and floating rate investments, and other specialty asset classes. These securities generally pay a higher rate of interest or return and may have a higher degree of credit or default risk. These securities may also be less liquid in times of economic weakness or market disruptions.
In addition, we invest directly and indirectly in private loans and real estate assets, which, as described more fully below, are subject to additional risks.
Our business may be negatively impacted by adverse developments affecting the financial services industry, such as actual events or concerns involving liquidity, defaults or non-performance by financial institutions and the potential contagion impact to, and resulting stress on, the financial services sector generally.
Actual events involving limited liquidity, defaults, non-performance or other adverse developments that affect financial institutions or other companies in the financial services industry or the financial services industry generally, or concerns or rumors about any events of these kinds or other similar risks, have in the past and may in the future lead to market-wide liquidity problems. For example, on March 10, 2023, Silicon Valley Bank, domiciled in Santa Clara, California (“SVB”) was closed by the California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation, which appointed the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”) as receiver. Following the collapse of SVB, similar distress has been seen across the banking sector; for example, on March 12, 2023, Signature Bank and Silvergate Capital were each placed into receivership. In addition, later that same week, Credit Suisse and UBS entered into a merger agreement following the intervention of the Swiss Federal Department of Finance, the Swiss National Bank and the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority. UBS will be the surviving entity upon closing of the merger transaction.
Although we assess our banking relationships as we believe necessary or appropriate, we cannot guarantee that the banks or other financial institutions that hold our funds will not experience similar issues. We cannot predict the full impact of the stress on the financial services sector and any heightened macroeconomic or political instability that may follow, including any regulatory changes. This could include impacts on the availability of our existing cash and cash equivalents or market value of our investments, or those of our trading partners such as regional program managers. In addition, we may be exposed to losses through our underwriting segments, including, but not limited to, within our professional lines portfolio.
In addition, widespread investor concerns regarding the U.S. or international financial systems could result in less favorable commercial financing terms, including higher interest rates or costs and tighter financial and operating covenants, or systemic limitations on access to credit and liquidity sources, thereby making it more difficult for us to acquire financing on acceptable terms or at all. Any decline in available funding or access to our cash and liquidity resources could, among other risks, adversely impact our ability to meet our operating expenses, financial obligations or fulfill our other obligations, or result in breaches of our financial and/or contractual obligations. Any of these impacts, or any other impacts resulting from the factors described above or other related or similar factors not described above, could have material adverse impacts on our liquidity and our current and/or projected business operations and financial condition and results of operations.
Our business may be adversely impacted by these developments in ways that we cannot predict at this time, there may be additional risks that we have not yet identified, and we cannot guarantee that we will be able to avoid negative consequences directly or indirectly from any failure of one or more banks or other financial institutions. Any of the foregoing could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations. In addition, the foregoing may have the effect of triggering or intensifying many of the risks described elsewhere under this Item 3D. Risk Factors.
LIBOR has been or will be discontinued as a floating rate benchmark; SOFR is expected to replace U.S. dollar LIBOR as the principal floating rate benchmark for U.S. dollars; the LIBOR discontinuation has affected and will continue to affect financial markets generally and may also affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
LIBOR has been the principal floating rate benchmark in the financial markets. However, as of December 31, 2021, all currencies and tenors of LIBOR, except the principal tenors of U.S. dollar LIBOR, were discontinued or ceased to be representative. The remaining tenors of U.S. dollar LIBOR are expected to be discontinued, or to become non-representative, as of June 30, 2023. For some existing LIBOR-based obligations, including certain of our assets, liabilities and securities, such as our 5.950% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preference Shares, the contractual consequences of the discontinuation of LIBOR are not clear. In addition, there is no assurance that the remaining tenors of U.S. dollar LIBOR will continue to be published until June 30, 2023 or in any particular form, and there is no assurance regarding the consequences of the LIBOR discontinuation generally.
In the United States, there have been efforts to identify alternative reference interest rates for U.S. dollar LIBOR. It is expected that U.S. dollar LIBOR will be replaced principally by rates based on the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (“SOFR”), with SOFR having been identified by the Alternative Reference Rates Committee, convened by the Federal Reserve Bank, as its preferred alternative rate to U.S. dollar LIBOR. For purposes of the following discussion, the term “LIBOR” refers solely to U.S. dollar LIBOR. SOFR has a limited history, having been first published in April 2018. The future performance of SOFR, and SOFR-based reference rates, cannot be predicted based on SOFR’s history or otherwise. Future levels of SOFR may bear little or no relation to historical levels of SOFR, LIBOR or other rates. SOFR has been more volatile than other benchmark or market rates, such as three-month LIBOR, during certain periods. Moreover, SOFR-
based rates will differ from LIBOR, and the differences may be material. SOFR is intended to be a broad measure of the cost of borrowing funds overnight in transactions that are collateralized by U.S. Treasury securities. In contrast, LIBOR has been intended to be sensitive to bank credit risk and to short-term interest rate risk. It is expected that more than one SOFR-based rate will be used in the financial markets. Like LIBOR, some SOFR-based rates will be forward-looking term rates; other SOFR-based rates will be intended to resemble rates for term structures through their use of averaging mechanisms applied to rates from overnight transactions, as in the case of “simple average” or “compounded average” SOFR. Different kinds of SOFR-based rates will result in different interest rates. Mismatches between SOFR-based rates, and between SOFR-based rates and other rates, may cause economic inefficiencies, particularly if market participants seek to hedge one kind of SOFR-based rate by entering into hedge transactions based on another SOFR-based rate or another rate. Non-LIBOR floating rate obligations, including SOFR-based obligations, may have returns and values that fluctuate more than those of floating rate obligations that are based on LIBOR or other rates. Also, because SOFR and some alternative floating rates are relatively new market indexes, markets for certain non-LIBOR obligations may never develop or may not be liquid. Market terms for non-LIBOR floating rate obligations, such as the spread over the index reflected in interest rate provisions, may evolve over time, and prices of non-LIBOR floating rate obligations may be different depending on when they are issued and changing views about correct spread levels. Resulting changes in the financial markets may adversely affect financial markets generally and may also adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows specifically.
As of December 31, 2022, certain of our assets, liabilities, investments and securities had LIBOR-based rates. For example, our investment portfolio included $1.6 billion of floating-rate investments, of which 56% by market value ($883.6 million) were tied to LIBOR. More than 91% by market value ($807.8 million) of LIBOR-linked investments include fallback language for benchmark changes, while the remaining investments are currently in different stages of the amendment process to comply with LIBOR cessation.
We have taken, are taking, or expect to take, steps intended to result in LIBOR being replaced, in connection with such assets, liabilities and securities, with SOFR-based rates or other appropriate floating rates. Some jurisdictions have implemented legislation to expressly provide a mechanism for a transition away from LIBOR in affected assets, liabilities and securities, however, such legislation may not be applicable to Aspen Holdings or other members of the Aspen Group. The Bermuda Government has not passed any such transition legislation and the BMA has not issued any specific guidance in relation to the same.
There can be no assurance regarding how or when LIBOR will be replaced, or what the replacement rate or rates will be. Further, uncertainty regarding the continued use and reliability of LIBOR, regarding the calculation of applicable interest rates or payment amounts depending on the terms of our LIBOR-based assets, liabilities, investments and securities, or regarding the application or effectiveness of replacement reference rates, could affect the value of such instruments or our net investment income and, accordingly, may have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows, material or otherwise. Further, the appropriateness or effectiveness of, or ability to apply or rely on, fallback language or designated alternative benchmark rate language in the Company’s LIBOR-linked material instruments and agreements, in particular the Company’s 5.950% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Perpetual Non-Cumulative Preference Shares, cannot yet be determined. All or any of the foregoing could impact our results of operations, liquidity or the market value of such instruments and/or present meaningful litigation, reputational, capital, regulatory or execution risks.
Our investments in private, secured CMLs and private, secured MMLs are subject to credit risk, market risk, servicing risk, loss from catastrophic events and other risks, which could diminish the value that we obtain from such investments.
As of December 31, 2022, a small portion of our total invested assets were invested in private, secured CMLs and in private, secured MMLs. Defaults by borrowers in the payment or performance of their obligations underlying these assets could reduce our investment income and realized investment gains or result in the recognition of investment losses. For example, the value of our real estate-related assets depends in part on the financial condition of the borrowers, the value of the real properties underlying the mortgages and, for commercial properties, the financial condition of the tenants of the properties underlying those mortgages, as well as general and specific economic trends affecting the overall default rate. An unexpectedly high rate of default on commercial mortgages and/or middle market loans may limit substantially the ability of the issuer of such securities to make payments to the loan holders, reducing the value of those securities.
The CML and MML portfolios that we hold, face both default and delinquency risk. An increase in the delinquency or default rate of our CML/MML portfolios or geographic or sector concentration within our CML/MML portfolios could materially and adversely impact our financial condition and results of operations. Any failure to manage these risks effectively could materially and adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations. In general, any significant weakness in the broader macro economy or significant problems in a particular real estate market or corporate market may cause a decline in the value of the real estate market and corporate assets securing the loans in that market, thereby increasing the risk of delinquency, default and foreclosure. This could, in turn, have a material adverse effect on our credit loss experience.
For more information on our CML and MML investments, which we also refer to as “privately-held investments,” refer to Item 18, Note 4 of our consolidated financial statements, “Investments.”
A portion of our invested assets are relatively illiquid and we may fail to realize profits from these assets for a considerable period of time, or lose some or all of the principal amount we invest in these assets if we are required to sell our invested assets at a loss to meet our insurance, reinsurance or other obligations.
We seek to configure our investment portfolio to provide and maintain sufficient liquidity to support our insurance, reinsurance and other obligations. However, in order to provide necessary long-term returns and to achieve our strategic goals, at times a portion of our assets may be relatively illiquid. A portion of our investments are in securities that are not publicly traded or that otherwise lack liquidity, such as our privately-held fixed maturity and floating rate securities, below investment grade securities, and alternative investments.
We record our relatively illiquid types of investments at fair value. If we were forced to sell some or all of these assets, there can be no assurance that we would be able to sell them for the values at which such assets are recorded and we might consequently sell these assets at significantly lower values to the recorded value. When we hold a security or position, it is vulnerable to price and value fluctuations and may experience losses if we are unable to sell or hedge the position. Thus, it may be impossible or costly for us to liquidate positions rapidly in order to meet unexpected obligations. This potential mismatch between the liquidity of our assets and liabilities could have a material and adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and cash flows.
We also invest in CLOs and control over the CLOs in which we invest is exercised through collateral managers, who may take actions that could adversely affect our interests, and we may not have the right to direct collateral management. There may also be less information available to us regarding the underlying debt instruments held by CLOs than if we had invested directly in the debt of the underlying companies. Our investments in CLOs are also subject to liquidity risk as there is a less liquid market for CLOs. Accordingly, we may suffer unrealized depreciation and could incur realized losses in connection with the sale of our CLO investments.
Volatility and uncertainty in general economic conditions and in financial and mortgage markets could adversely impact our business prospects, operating results, financial position and liquidity.
In recent months due to significant inflation, the rapid and strong rise in interest rates, ongoing uncertainty as to the emergence of potential new COVID-19 variants, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, the merger of Credit Suisse and UBS and the associated stress on the financial services sector and the ongoing Russian invasion of Ukraine, global financial markets have been characterized by volatility and uncertainty. Unfavorable economic conditions could increase our funding costs, limit our access to the capital markets or make credit harder to obtain. Uncertainties in the financial and mortgage markets may also affect our counterparties which could adversely affect their ability to meet their obligations to us.
Deterioration or volatility in the financial markets or general economic and political conditions could result in a prolonged economic downturn or trigger another recession and our operating results, financial position and liquidity could be materially and adversely affected. Further, unfavorable economic conditions could have a material adverse effect on certain or any of the lines of business we write, including, but not limited to, credit and political risks, professional liability and surety risks.
We provide credit reinsurance to mortgage guaranty insurers and commercial credit insurers. We are exposed to the risk that losses from mortgage insurance materially exceed the net premiums that are received to cover such risks, which may, subject to liability caps, result in operating and economic losses to us. Mortgage insurance underwriting losses that have the potential to exceed our risk appetite are associated with the systemic impacts of severe mortgage defaults, driven by large scale economic downturns and high unemployment.
Such matters may have the effect of triggering or intensifying many of the risks described elsewhere under this Item 3D. Risk Factors.
The determination of the amount of allowances and impairments taken on our investments is highly subjective and could materially impact our operating results or financial position.
We perform a detailed analysis each reporting period end to assess declines in the fair values of available for sale debt securities in accordance with applicable accounting guidance regarding the recognition and presentation of current expected losses. The process of determining an allowance for available for sale securities requires judgment and involves analyzing many factors. For additional information regarding this process, and the changes to the applicable accounting policies, refer to Item 18, Note 2(c) of our consolidated financial statements, “Basis of Preparation and Significant Accounting Policies —Accounting for Investments, Cash and Cash Equivalents”, and Item 18, Note 2(c) of our consolidated financial statements, “Basis of Preparation and Significant Accounting Policies —Accounting Pronouncements.” Assessing the accuracy of the allowances reflected, in our financial statements is inherently uncertain given the subjective nature of the process. Furthermore, additional impairments may need to be taken or allowances provided in the future with respect to events that may impact specific investments. While our current allowance is not material, the current allowance may not be indicative of future impairments or allowances. Thus, future material impairments themselves or any error in accurately accounting for them may have a material adverse effect on our financial condition or results of operations.
Our financial condition or operating results may be adversely affected by currency fluctuations that we may not be effective at mitigating.
Our reporting currency is the U.S. dollar. However, a significant portion of our operations is conducted outside the United States in a variety of foreign (non-U.S.) currencies. Accordingly, we are subject to legal, economic and market risks associated with devaluations and fluctuations in currency exchange rates. Our assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies are therefore exposed to changes in currency exchange rates, which may be material. The principal currencies creating foreign exchange risk are the British Pound, the Euro, the Swiss Franc, the Australian Dollar, the Canadian Dollar and the Singapore Dollar. At December 31, 2022, approximately 13.8% of gross written premiums were denominated in non-U.S. currencies. We employ various strategies, including the use of foreign exchange forward contracts and other derivative financial instruments, to manage our exposure to foreign currency exchange risk. To the extent that these exposures are not fully offset or hedged, or the hedges are ineffective at mitigating adverse effects, our financial results and condition may be negatively impacted by fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates.
Credit Risks
Our operating results may be adversely affected by the failure of policyholders, brokers or other intermediaries or reinsurers to honor their payment obligations.
In accordance with industry practice, we generally pay amounts owed on claims under our insurance and reinsurance contracts to brokers and these brokers, in turn, pay these amounts to the policyholders that purchased insurance and reinsurance from us. In some jurisdictions where we write a significant amount of business, if a broker fails to make such a payment it is highly likely that we will be liable to the policyholder for the deficiency because of local laws or contractual obligations. Likewise, when the policyholder pays premiums for policies to brokers for payment to us, these premiums are generally considered to have been paid and, in most cases, the policyholder will no longer be liable to us for those amounts whether or not we have actually received the premiums. Consequently, we assume a degree of credit risk associated with brokers with respect to most of our (re)insurance business.
In addition, bankruptcy, liquidity problems, distressed financial conditions or the general effects of economic recession may increase the risk that policyholders may not pay a part of, or the full amount of, premiums owed to us despite an obligation to do so. The terms of our contracts or local law may not permit us to cancel our insurance even if we have not received payment. If non-payment becomes widespread, whether as a result of bankruptcy, lack of liquidity, adverse economic conditions, operational failure, delay due to litigation, bad faith and fraud or other events, it could have a material adverse impact on our business and operating results.
We purchase reinsurance for our own account in order to mitigate the effect of certain large and multiple losses upon our financial condition. Our reinsurers or capital market counterparts are dependent on their ratings in order to continue to write business and some have suffered downgrades in ratings in the past as a result of their exposures. Our reinsurers or capital market counterparties may also be affected by adverse developments in the financial markets, which could adversely affect their ability to meet their obligations to us. Insolvency of these counterparties, their inability to continue to write business or reluctance to make timely payments under the terms of their agreements with us could have a material adverse effect on us because we remain liable to our insureds or cedants in respect of the reinsured risks.
During periods of economic uncertainty, such as the current environment, our consolidated credit risk to these parties may materially increase.
Strategic Risks
Competition and consolidation in the (re)insurance industry could reduce our growth and profitability.
Insurance and reinsurance markets are highly competitive. We compete on an international and regional basis with major U.S., Bermuda, European and other international (re)insurers and underwriting syndicates, including Lloyd's, some of which have greater financial, marketing and management resources than we do. We also compete with new companies that continue to be formed to enter the (re)insurance markets. In addition, capital market participants have created alternative products that are intended to compete with reinsurance products. Until recently, new and alternative capital inflows in the (re)insurance market and the retention by cedants of more business had caused an excess supply of (re)insurance capital and may again in the future. We have sought to address this risk by developing our own capital markets capability.
There has also been a large volume of merger and acquisition activity in the (re)insurance sector in recent years which may continue and we may experience increased competition as a result of that consolidation with consolidated entities having enhanced market power. As the (re)insurance industry consolidates, competition for customers will become more intense and the importance of acquiring and properly servicing each customer will become greater.
Increased competition could result in fewer submissions, lower premium rates, less favorable policy terms and conditions and greater expenses relating to customer acquisition and retention, which could have a material adverse impact on our operating results or financial condition.
Our Operating Subsidiaries are rated and our Lloyd’s business benefits from a rating by one or more of A.M. Best and S&P and a decline in any of these ratings could adversely affect our standing among brokers and customers and cause our premiums and earnings to decrease.
Ratings have become an increasingly important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance and reinsurance companies. Rating agencies represent independent opinions of the financial strength of insurers and reinsurers and their ability to meet policyholder obligations. The ratings of our Operating Subsidiaries are subject to periodic review by, and may be placed on credit watch, revised downward or revoked at the sole discretion of, A.M. Best or S&P. Refer to Item 4, “Business Overview - Ratings.” These ratings are intended to measure a company’s ability to repay its obligations and are based upon criteria established by the rating agencies. Ratings may be solicited or unsolicited.
The rating agencies with whom we maintain an interactive rating relationship for the purposes of the solicited ratings, currently A.M. Best and S&P, continuously evaluate us to confirm that we continue to meet the criteria of the rating assigned to us. Our ratings may be revised downward or revoked at the sole discretion of the rating agencies. The financial strength ratings assigned by rating agencies to insurance or reinsurance companies are based upon factors relevant to cedants, which include factors not entirely within our control, including factors impacting the financial services, insurance and reinsurance industries generally. Financial strength ratings by rating agencies are not ratings of securities or recommendations to buy, hold or sell any security.
If our Operating Subsidiaries’ or if Lloyd’s ratings are reduced from their current levels by either A.M. Best or S&P, our competitive position in the (re)insurance industry might suffer and it may be more difficult for us to market our products, expand our (re)insurance portfolio and renew our existing (re)insurance policies and agreements. A rating downgrade may also require us to establish trusts or post letters of credit for ceding company clients and could trigger provisions allowing some clients to terminate their (re)insurance contracts with us. Some contracts also provide for the return of premium to the ceding client in the event of a rating downgrade. It is increasingly common for our reinsurance contracts to contain such terms. Whether a cedant would exercise any of these rights could depend on various factors, such as the reason for and the extent of such downgrade, the prevailing market conditions and the pricing and availability of replacement reinsurance coverage. A downgrade could result in a substantial loss of business as ceding companies and brokers that place such business move to other reinsurers with higher ratings and therefore such downgrade may materially and adversely impact our business, operating results, liquidity and financial flexibility.
In addition, a downgrade of the financial strength rating of Aspen UK, Aspen Bermuda, AAIC or Aspen Specialty by A.M. Best below “B++” would constitute an event of default under one or more of our financing facilities. Additionally, the cost and availability of unsecured financing are generally dependent on the borrower’s long-term and short-term debt ratings. A lower rating may lead to higher borrowing costs, thereby adversely impacting our liquidity and financial flexibility and by extension our business, financial condition and results of operations.
There can be no assurance that we and our subsidiaries will not experience downgrades, which may result in an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
As noted above, ratings with respect to claims paying ability and financial strength have become increasingly important factors in establishing the competitive position of insurance and reinsurance companies and will also impact the cost and availability of capital to an insurance company. Our existing ratings by A.M. Best and S&P represent an important consideration in maintaining customer confidence in us and in our ability to market insurance products. Rating organizations regularly analyze the financial performance and condition of insurers.
The S&P financial strength and issuer credit ratings of Aspen Bermuda, AAIC and Aspen UK are “A-” (Strong), while the long-term issuer credit rating of Aspen Holdings is “BBB”. The outlook assigned to all these ratings is stable. Aspen Specialty is not currently rated by S&P and has a financial strength rating of “A” (Excellent) by A.M. Best with a stable outlook. On April 30, 2021, A.M. Best affirmed the financial strength rating of “A” (Excellent) for Aspen Bermuda, Aspen UK Aspen Specialty and AAIC and upgraded its outlook to stable from negative, and both the rating and outlook were affirmed on May 26, 2022. Aspen Lloyd’s benefits from the Lloyd’s market financial strength rating of “A” (Excellent) with a stable outlook by A.M. Best and “A+” (Strong) with a stable outlook by S&P.
In addition, as a result of their rating of Highlands Holdings Bond Issuer, Ltd. and Highlands Holdings Bond Co-Issuer, Inc. (the “Issuers”) and the $500 million aggregate principal amount of their 7.625% / 8.375% Senior Secured PIK Toggle Notes due 2025 (the “Notes”), S&P takes into consideration the Issuers in their view of the wider Aspen Group when evaluating the adequacy of our capital reserves for purposes of determining financial strength and issuer credit ratings accorded to our Operating Subsidiaries. In addition, S&P expects us to maintain capital adequacy above the “AAA” level to maintain our “A-” rating. Should we experience weaker than-expected underwriting performance, should our capital adequacy position decline and remain below the “AAA” level for a prolonged period, should our financial leverage materially increase or liquidity materially decrease, among other factors, we may be required to maintain a greater amount of capital in order to maintain our existing ratings or become subject to a ratings downgrade.
Both A.M. Best and S&P are widely recognized insurance company rating agencies and some policyholders are required to obtain insurance coverage from insurance companies that have an “A-” (Strong) rating or higher. Because A.M. Best and S&P continually monitor companies with regard to their ratings, our ratings could change at any time. Any downgrade in our ratings may impair our ability to sell insurance policies and could materially and adversely affect our competitive position in the insurance industry, future financial condition and operating results. In December 2021, S&P announced proposed changes to its rating methodologies. On March 14, 2023, S&P announced that it was still in the process of finalizing the new rating methodology, which is expected to be published during the second quarter of 2023. The proposed changes have not been finalized, so the impact, if any, these changes may have on our ratings or capital management framework is unknown.
Our business may be adversely affected if third-party outsourced service providers fail to satisfactorily perform certain technology and business process functions.
We outsource certain technology and business process functions to third parties including offshore and cloud service providers and may increasingly do so in the future. If we do not effectively develop, implement and monitor our outsourcing strategy, third-party providers do not perform as anticipated or we experience technological or other problems with a transition, we may not realize productivity improvements or cost efficiencies and may experience operational difficulties, increased costs and loss of business. Our outsourcing of certain technology and business processes and functions to third parties may expose us to enhanced risks related to data security, which could result in monetary and reputational damages. In addition, our ability to receive services from third-party providers may be impacted by cultural differences, political instability, unanticipated regulatory requirements or policies. As a result, our ability to conduct our business may be adversely affected.
Increasing scrutiny and evolving expectations from investors, customers, regulators, policymakers and other stakeholders regarding environmental, social and governance matters may adversely affect our reputation or otherwise adversely impact our business and results of operations.
Internal and external stakeholders, including regulators and investors, have placed increased importance on how we are addressing ESG issues. In addition, regulators have adopted and likely will continue to adopt ESG-related rules and guidance, which may conflict with one another and impose additional costs and operational burdens on us. ESG encompasses a wide range of issues, including climate change and other environmental risks. Our senior management team and the board of directors of Aspen Holdings are actively engaged in understanding the ever-changing ESG landscape and assessing our business operations to ensure that our business strategy reflects our commitment to building a business that
embraces ESG principles. We cannot predict whether our business decisions, business strategy and disclosures relating to climate change and other ESG issues will meet the expectations or requirements of relevant stakeholders, including regulators. If we are unable to meet targets, standards, or expectations, whether established by us or third parties, it could result in adverse publicity, reputational harm, or loss of customer and/or investor confidence, which could adversely affect our business and results of operations.
Any future acquisitions, growth of our operations through the addition of new lines of (re)insurance business, expansion into new geographic regions and/or joint ventures or partnerships may expose us to risks.
As part of our long-term strategy, we have pursued, and may continue to pursue, growth through acquisitions and/or strategic investments in new businesses or entering into strategic ventures with third parties. The negotiation of these transactions as well as the integration of an acquired business or new personnel could result in a substantial diversion of management resources. Successful integration depends, among other things, on our ability to effectively integrate acquired businesses or new personnel into our existing risk management and financial and operational reporting systems, establish satisfactory budgetary and other financial controls, manage any regulatory issues created by our entry into new markets and geographic locations, retain key personnel and obtain personnel required for expanded operations. The failure to integrate successfully or to manage the challenges presented by the integration process may have an adverse effect on our business, financial condition or results of operations.
There can be no assurance that the integration of acquired businesses or new personnel will be successful, that we will realize anticipated synergies, cost savings and operational efficiencies, or that the business acquired will prove to be profitable or sustainable. The failure to integrate acquired businesses successfully or to manage the challenges presented by the integration process may adversely impact our financial results. Acquisitions could involve numerous additional risks such as potential losses from unanticipated litigation or levels of claims and inability to generate sufficient revenue to offset acquisition costs. In addition, the value of assets acquired may be lower than expected or may diminish due to credit defaults or changes in interest rates or the liabilities assumed may be greater than expected. Our ability to grow through acquisitions will depend, in part, on our success in addressing these risks. Our failure to manage successfully any of the foregoing challenges and risks may adversely impact our results of operations.
We depend on a few brokers for a large portion of our insurance and reinsurance revenues and the loss of business provided by any one of those brokers could adversely affect us.
We market our (re)insurance worldwide primarily through (re)insurance brokers and derive a significant portion of our business from a limited number of brokers. In 2022, three brokers, Aon Corporation, Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., and Willis Group Holdings, Ltd., accounted for 30.3%, 32.4%, and 10.6%, respectively, of our reinsurance gross written premiums. In our insurance business, ten brokers collectively accounted for 73.5% of our gross written premiums, with Aon Corporation and Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. accounting for 16.6% and 14.3%, respectively. Refer to Item 4, “Business Overview - Business Distribution” below for our principal brokers by segment. Our relationships with our brokers and agents are based on the quality of our underwriting and claim services, as well as our financial strength ratings. Any deterioration in these factors could result in the brokers advising our clients to place their business with other (re)insurers. In addition, these brokers and agents also have, or may in the future acquire, ownership interests in insurance and reinsurance companies that may compete with us and these brokers may favor their own (re)insurers over other companies. Loss of all or a substantial portion of the business provided by one or more of these brokers could have a material adverse impact on our business and results of operations.
In addition, there has been a trend of increased consolidation of agents and brokers and of agents and brokers reducing the numbers of insurers with which they do business to gain efficiency for their placement efforts. As we distribute most of our products through agents and brokers, consolidation could impact our ability to access business and our relationships with, and fees paid to, agents and brokers. In the Lloyds’s market, independent London wholesalers continue to be acquired by larger global brokers, which may result in enhanced market power for these larger brokers in placing (re)insurance. Consolidation of distributors may also increase the likelihood that distributors will try to renegotiate the terms of existing selling agreements to terms less favorable to us. As brokers merge with or acquire each other, any resulting failure or inability of brokers to market our products successfully, or the loss of a substantial portion of the business sourced by one or more of our key brokers, could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
We are exposed to risks in connection with our management of alternative reinsurance platforms on behalf of investors in any entities Aspen Capital Markets manages or could manage in the future.
Those of our subsidiaries that are engaged in the management of alternative reinsurance platforms as part of our Aspen Capital Markets (“ACM”) division may owe certain legal duties and obligations to third-party investors (including reporting obligations) and are subject to a variety of often complex laws and regulations relating to the management of those structures. Although we continually monitor our policies and procedures to ensure compliance, faulty judgments, simple errors or mistakes, or the failure of our personnel to adhere to established policies and procedures could result in our failure to comply with applicable laws or regulations which could result in significant liabilities, penalties or other losses and significantly harm our business and results of operations.
In addition, our third-party investors may decide to redeem their interests in the entities we manage, which could materially impact the financial condition of such entities. Certain of our third-party capital investors provide significant capital investment in respect of the entities we manage. The loss or alteration of this capital support could be detrimental to our financial condition and results of operations. Moreover, we can provide no assurance that we may be able to attract and raise additional third-party capital for our existing managed entities or for potential new managed entities and therefore we may forego existing and/or potential attractive fee income and other income-generating opportunities.
Furthermore, notwithstanding any capital holdback, we may decide to return to our investors all or a portion of the third-party capital held by entities we manage as collateral prior to the maturity specified in the terms of the particular underlying transactional documents. A return of capital to our investors is final. As a result, if we release collateral early and capital is returned to our investors, we may not have sufficient collateral to pay the claims associated with such losses in the event losses are significantly larger than we anticipated. In addition, the value of any collateral held may be impacted by macroeconomic, geopolitical or other factors that could lead to investment volatility.
We may require additional capital in the future, which may not be available or may only be available on unfavorable terms.
Our future capital requirements depend on many factors, including our ability to write new business successfully, deploy capital into more profitable business lines, identify acquisition opportunities, manage investments and preserve capital in volatile markets, and establish premium rates and reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. To the extent our funds are insufficient to fund future operating requirements or cover claims losses, we may need to raise additional funds through corporate finance transactions or curtail our growth and reduce our liabilities. Any such financing, if available at all, may be on terms that are not favorable to us. Additionally, in a rising interest rate environment such as the one prevailing recently, such financing may result in a higher cost of capital. Our ability to raise such capital successfully would depend upon the facts and circumstances at the time, including our financial position and operating results, market conditions and applicable regulatory filings and legal issues. If we cannot obtain adequate capital on favorable terms, or obtain it at all, our business, financial condition and operating results could be adversely affected.
In addition, we may not achieve the desired regulatory capital treatment for any potential issuance of debt or equity securities due to changing solvency capital eligibility requirements under the Bermuda Insurance (Group Supervision) Rules 2011 (the “Group Supervision Rules”) to which we are subject. For these instruments to continue to receive the intended regulatory capital treatment, their terms must reflect the criteria contained in the Group Supervision Rules and any amendments thereto. If the BMA applies any changes to the Group Supervision Rules governing eligible capital such that our outstanding preferred shares and notes no longer receive their intended capital treatment under the Group Supervision Rules, we may be unable to maintain adequate regulatory capital. If we cannot obtain adequate capital or credit, our business, results of operations and financial condition could be adversely affected by, among other things, our inability to finance future acquisitions.
Our debt, credit and International Swaps and Derivatives Association (“ISDA”) agreements may limit our financial and operational flexibility, which may affect our financial condition, liquidity and ability to conduct our business.
We have incurred indebtedness and may incur additional indebtedness in the future. Additionally, we have entered into credit facilities with various institutions which provide revolving lines of credit to us and our Operating Subsidiaries and issue letters of credit to our clients in the ordinary course of business. We have also entered into ISDA agreements relating to derivative transactions.
The agreements relating to our debt, credit facilities and our ISDA agreements contain covenants that may limit our ability, among other things, to borrow money, make particular types of investments or other restricted payments, sell assets,
merge or consolidate. Such agreements also typically contain reporting and disclosure affirmative covenants. Some of these agreements also require us to maintain specified ratings and financial ratios, including a minimum net worth covenant. If we fail to comply with these covenants or meet required financial ratios, the lenders or counterparties under these agreements could declare a default and demand immediate repayment of all amounts owed to them and require collateralization of any current or future obligations of the Company. Additionally, a default under our debt, credit facilities or ISDA agreements could limit our ability to obtain credit or enter into such transactions on favorable terms, or at all. As a result, our business, financial condition and operating results could be adversely affected.
If we are in default under the terms of these agreements, we may also be restricted in our ability to declare or pay any dividends, redeem, purchase or acquire any shares or make a liquidation payment and are at risk of cross-default on other arrangements. In addition, the cost and availability of these arrangements vary and any adverse change in the cost or availability of such arrangements could adversely impact our business, financial condition and operating results.
Regulatory Risks
Political, regulatory, governmental and industry initiatives may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and prospects.
Certain of the laws and regulations to which our Operating Subsidiaries are subject are summarized in Item 4, “Business Overview - Regulatory Matters.” Changes in the laws and regulations relevant to our business may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and prospects. The laws and regulations of the jurisdictions in which our insurance and reinsurance subsidiaries are domiciled require, among other things, maintenance of minimum levels of statutory capital, surplus, and liquidity; various solvency standards; and periodic examinations of subsidiaries’ financial condition. In some jurisdictions, laws and regulations also restrict payments of dividends and reductions of capital. Applicable statutes, regulations, and policies may also restrict the ability of these subsidiaries to write insurance and reinsurance policies, to make certain investments, and to distribute funds. In addition, as industry practices and legislative, regulatory, judicial, social, financial, technological and other environmental conditions change, unexpected and unintended issues related to claims and coverage may emerge. These issues may adversely affect our business by either extending coverage beyond our underwriting intent or by increasing the frequency and severity of claims. In some instances, these changes may not become apparent until after we have issued insurance or reinsurance contracts that are affected by the changes
Some of these authorities regularly consider enhanced or new regulatory requirements intended to prevent future crises or otherwise assure the stability of institutions under their supervision. These authorities may also seek to exercise their supervisory authority in new and more robust ways, and new regulators could become authorized to oversee parts of our business. The purpose of insurance laws and regulations generally is to protect policyholders and ceding insurance companies, not our shareholders or noteholders. Failure to comply with or obtain appropriate authorizations and/or exemptions under any applicable laws and regulations could result in restrictions on our ability to do business or undertake activities that are regulated in one or more of the jurisdictions in which we conduct business and could subject us to fines, other sanctions and reputational injury.
It is not possible to predict all future impacts of political, regulatory, governmental or industry changes but they could affect the way we conduct our business and manage our capital, and may require us to satisfy increased capital requirements or to incur additional expenses, any of which, in turn, could affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity.
The foreign and U.S. federal and state laws and regulations that are applicable to our operations are complex and may increase the costs of regulatory compliance or subject our business to the possibility of regulatory actions or proceedings. In addition to insurance and financial industry regulations, our activities are also subject to relevant economic and trade sanctions, money laundering regulations, and anti-corruption laws including the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the U.K. Bribery Act 2010, which may increase the costs of regulatory compliance, limit or restrict our ability to do business or engage in certain regulated activities, or subject us to the possibility of regulatory actions, proceedings and fines. We maintain policies and procedures designed to comply with these laws and regulations. As part of our business, we may, from time to time, engage in limited sales and transactions involving certain countries that are targets of economic sanctions, provided that such sales and transactions are authorized pursuant to applicable economic sanctions laws and regulations. However, we cannot predict the nature, scope or effect of future regulatory requirements, including changes that may affect existing regulatory authorizations, and we cannot predict the manner in which existing laws and regulations might be administered or interpreted. Further, there can be no guarantee that our policies and procedures will be effective in preventing violations, which could adversely affect our reputation, business, financial condition or results of operations. If in the future we are found to be in violation of U.S. sanctions or export control laws, it could result in substantial fines and penalties for us. The insurance industry is also affected by political, judicial, and legal developments that may create new and expanded regulations and theories of liability. The current economic and financial climates present additional
uncertainties and risks relating to increased regulation and the potential for increased involvement of the U.S. and other governments in the financial services industry.
During 2022, Aspen Bermuda obtained reciprocal jurisdiction reinsurer status with Texas as its lead state. Reinsurers licensed in reciprocal jurisdictions (which include European Union member states, Bermuda, Japan and Switzerland) are not required to post reinsurance collateral if approved as reciprocal jurisdiction reinsurers. With its approval from Texas, Aspen Bermuda was able to facilitate passporting applications in additional states throughout 2022 and renewed the same for 2023. "Passporting"” refers to the process under which a state has the discretion to defer to the determination by another state that a reinsurer is a reciprocal jurisdiction reinsurer, thereby excusing the approved reinsurer from collateral requirements in such state. Aspen Bermuda also retains its status as a certified reinsurer in a number of U.S. states, enabling it to provide reduced collateral for historical risks written. There is no guarantee that Aspen Bermuda will maintain its reciprocal jurisdiction reinsurer or certified reinsurer status, and changes in laws and regulations applicable to the provision of collateral by offshore or unauthorized reinsurers such as Aspen Bermuda may have a material adverse impact on our capital management approach, financial condition, results of operations, liquidity, cash flows and prospects. Refer to Item 4, “Information on the Company — Business - Regulatory Matters - U.S. Regulation - “Credit for Reinsurance”.
In the event or absence of changes in applicable laws and regulations in particular jurisdictions, we may from time to time face challenges, or changes in approach to oversight of our business from insurance or other regulators, including challenges resulting from implementing new or additional processes or procedures that cannot be quickly adapted to address new regulatory requirements. Moreover, we could be, or our employees acting on our behalf, could be found to have violated existing laws, rules or regulations. Our regulators have the ability to make regulatory interventions using their powers, including through investigations, requests for data and analysis, interviews or reviews (including skilled persons reports under section 166 of FSMA), which regulatory intervention may require specific remediation, including via guidance on a confidential basis, in respect of historical practices, changes to our existing practices, public censure, the loss or restriction of regulatory permissions necessary to carry out our business in the same manner as before, and/or additional regulatory capital to be held.
We are involved in periodic meetings with, and reviews by, regulators, pursuant to which they review our business and provide challenges in order to test and validate the supervisory and work plan adopted by their supervisory teams. Through such processes, our regulators may validate and/or challenge, among other things, our strategy, business plans, internal governance, risk and capital management and compliance frameworks. Our regulators have required us, and we are under continuing obligations, to remediate failures, weaknesses and other issues that they have identified, including, but not limited to, with respect to our underwriting performance, reserving risk and capital management, and governance, which, if we are unsuccessful in remediating could result in greater regulatory intrusion, enforcement action and/or the exercise of our regulators’ own initiative powers (including imposing restrictions on our underwriting and/or a requirement to maintain additional capital, which would reduce our underwriting capacity). We are currently in the process of implementing initiatives to improve our business, including our underwriting performance, risk and capital management and governance, which, if we are unable to successfully implement could result in greater regulatory intrusion and/or enforcement action or the exercise of our regulators’ own initiative powers, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
We believe it is likely there will continue to be increased regulation of, and other forms of government participation in, our industry in the future, which could materially adversely affect our business by, among other things: providing reinsurance capacity in markets and to policyholders that we target or requiring our participation in industry pools and guaranty associations; further restricting our operational or capital flexibility; expanding the scope of coverage under existing policies; regulating the terms of our (re)insurance policies; adopting further or changing compliance requirements which may result in additional costs which may adversely impact our results of operation; or disproportionately benefiting the companies domiciled in one country over those domiciled in another.
Changes in regulations that adversely affect the U.S. mortgage insurance and reinsurance market could affect our operations significantly and could reduce the demand for mortgage insurance.
In addition to the general regulatory risks to which we are subject, the reinsurance we write could also be indirectly affected by various additional regulations relating particularly to our U.S. mortgage reinsurance operations. U.S. federal and state regulations affect the scope of operations of mortgage guaranty insurers and commercial credit insurers, to whom we provide credit reinsurance. Legislative and regulatory changes could cause demand for private mortgage insurance to decrease, which could have an adverse impact on our U.S. mortgage reinsurance operations. Increases in the maximum loan amount that the U.S. Federal Housing Administration can insure, and reductions in the mortgage insurance premiums it charges, can reduce the demand for private mortgage insurance. Decreases in the maximum loan amounts government-sponsored enterprises, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan
Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac) (the “GSEs”), will purchase or guarantee, increases in GSE fees, or decreases in the maximum loan-to-value ratio for loans the GSEs will purchase, can also reduce demand for private mortgage insurance. Changes in these laws or regulations could have an indirect adverse impact on the profitability of our U.S. mortgage reinsurance business.